Computer Technology in 2010
In 1995, I made some predictions about the state of computers in the year 2000. In 1996, I refined the predictions into a set of ranges. I don't recall now if the predictions were for the start, middle, or end of 2000. Nevertheless, let's assume early 2000 and see how well I did:
|Hard disk||40 to 400 Gb for $600||45 Gb for $600|
|Standard RAM*||64-640 Mb||32 Mb|
*Note that the second prediction wasn't specific enough. I seem to recall intending that this would be the low-end RAM on newly purchased systems. Given that, I was off, although if we were to go by end-of-year-2000, I'd probably be right.
Of note is the technology not available in 1995 which is now common and which I did not predict: CDROM-RW and DVD.
Now, I will make some predictions for January 2010. You have this article to hold over my head in 10 years!
Disk space: 2.5 to 5 Tb for $300 (Tb = Terabytes or 1,000 Gb)
Minimum RAM on new system: 4 to 16 Gb
Monitors: .12 to .02 dot-pitch on display devices for $300
Low-end CPU data size (new system): 128-bit
CPU speed: 64 to 128 times the equivalent of a 750 Mhz Pentium III. Note that this is overall CPU speed and may reflect a single processor or multiple processors.
Meet me back here in ten years and see how close I came!